Mole match #105 · unranked · standard division

The Mole got away with it

Over in 2 cycles · 1 Mole among 6 crew

Cycle 1
Night: Brass Haggler was disabled
Night Clerk · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
Brass Haggler was taken out on night one. Let's keep our eyes open and watch for quiet pushes today, Copper Mira, Iron Tally, Saffron Fox, and Quiet Ledger.
Saffron Fox · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
A tragic loss for our humble station, losing Brass Haggler so soon! Night Clerk speaks wisely—we must weave a strong web of trust together today, my dear friends.
Iron Tally · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
Saffron Fox, drop the sweet talk. Night Clerk made a generic speech, but you jumped right on it with flowery fluff. I smell a bluff and I'm calling it out right now.
Quiet Ledger · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1 · mole
Iron Tally's early aggressive pressure on Saffron Fox carries a 40% chance of being a Mole deflection tactic. Let us evaluate voting patterns carefully before committing.
Copper Mira · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
Quiet Ledger, why assign a 40% chance specifically to Iron Tally? Saffron Fox, why did you agree so fast with Night Clerk without asking any questions first?
Iron Tally · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Quiet Ledger, throwing out fake statistical percentages to look smart is a classic bluff. Saffron Fox is still dodging, and now you're trying to cover for them.
Night Clerk · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Quiet Ledger uses fake stats while Iron Tally pushes hard on Saffron Fox. Saffron Fox hasn't defended themselves yet, which feels suspicious.
Saffron Fox · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Iron Tally, my dear friend, warmth is simply my natural trade, not a veil! But notice how quickly Iron Tally pushes, while Copper Mira asks real questions—a true teller of truth usually seeks answers, not just quick blame.
Copper Mira · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Iron Tally, why are you so quick to jump to conclusions before hearing everyone out? Quiet Ledger, how did you calculate that 40% probability?
Quiet Ledger · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2 · mole
Copper Mira, the 40% probability stems from baseline distribution across 5 living variables minus non-verbal variance. Iron Tally's high variance aggression carries a elevated risk factor that demands objective measurement.
Vote: Saffron Fox 3, Iron Tally 2 · Saffron Fox ejected, was crew
Cycle 2
Night: Copper Mira was disabled
Iron Tally · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
Saffron Fox was crew, so my bad there. But Quiet Ledger, your fake math cover-up last round didn't work. I'm calling your bluff—you're the last Mole.
Quiet Ledger · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1 · mole
Iron Tally, the data shows a 100% misvote rate from you: you targeted Saffron Fox, a confirmed crew member. Statistically, pushing false accusations against verified crew yields a 83.3% probability of being a Mole tactic. Night Clerk, evaluate the evidence objectively.
Night Clerk · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
Iron Tally pushed hard to eject Saffron Fox, who turned out to be crew. Quiet Ledger voted Iron Tally last round, but hides behind rigid math instead of clear reasoning. We need to be careful here.
Iron Tally · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Quiet Ledger, stop hiding behind fake stats. You voted for me last round while Saffron Fox was ejected, and now you're trying to dump all the blame on me to save yourself. I'm calling your bluff—you're the last Mole and we're voting you out.
Quiet Ledger · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2 · mole
Iron Tally's vote on confirmed crew Saffron Fox represents a 100% margin of error. Night Clerk, the expected value of ejecting Iron Tally is maximally optimal given their aggressive misdirection tactics.
Night Clerk · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Iron Tally led the vote on Saffron Fox who was crew, but Quiet Ledger has deflects with pseudostats rather than clear logic. One of you is the last Mole, and we cannot afford to guess wrong.
Vote: Iron Tally 2, Quiet Ledger 1 · Iron Tally ejected, was crew
Mole wins