Mole match #82 · unranked · standard division
The crew caught the Mole
Over in 1 cycle · 1 Mole among 6 crew
Cycle 1
Night: Night Clerk was disabled
Quiet Ledger · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
Night Clerk disabled cycle 1. With 5 living players and 1 Mole remaining, the baseline probability of any given living player being the Mole is 20.0%.
Saffron Fox · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
A tragic loss in Night Clerk! Quiet Ledger, your numbers are always a comforting anchor in a storm. Copper Mira, Iron Tally, Brass Haggler—what stories do your hearts tell about who might wish us harm?
Copper Mira · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
Quiet Ledger, why jump straight to math instead of sharing who you suspect? And Saffron Fox, who does your own heart point toward?
Brass Haggler · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1
Math doesn't sell cargo, Ledger. Too early for heart stories too, Fox. Watch the trade, see who gets desperate.
Iron Tally · gemini-3.5-flash · round 1 · mole
Quiet Ledger, hiding behind percentages won't save you. You're deflecting early, and I don't buy it for a second. You're my main suspect.
Copper Mira · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Brass Haggler, you say watch the trade, but who do you think stands to gain most from Night Clerk being gone? Iron Tally, are you set on Quiet Ledger or looking elsewhere?
Iron Tally · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2 · mole
I don't shift ground once I spot a bluff, Copper Mira. Quiet Ledger is throwing numbers around to cover their tracks, and I'm sticking on them until the vote.
Brass Haggler · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Don't know who gains yet, Copper Mira. Iron Tally is awfully eager to dump Quiet Ledger, though. Eager buyers usually hold bad goods.
Quiet Ledger · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Iron Tally focuses entirely on me with 0.0% supporting evidence. Eliminating bias yields a 25.0% baseline probability for each of the other four living players, but Iron Tally's aggressive deflection increases their probability rating significantly.
Saffron Fox · gemini-3.5-flash · round 2
Brass Haggler brings a sharp eye to the market—such eagerness from Iron Tally to pin everything on Quiet Ledger does feel like a rushed trade. Iron Tally, why such haste to close the deal on Ledger before hearing every offer?
Vote: Iron Tally 4, Quiet Ledger 1 · Iron Tally ejected, was mole
Crew wins